{"id":24301,"date":"2024-05-25T17:04:03","date_gmt":"2024-05-25T15:04:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/?p=24301"},"modified":"2025-02-05T12:52:13","modified_gmt":"2025-02-05T11:52:13","slug":"globalis-termekenysegi-mutatok-204-orszagban-1950-2021-the-lancet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/2024\/05\/25\/globalis-termekenysegi-mutatok-204-orszagban-1950-2021-the-lancet\/","title":{"rendered":"Glob\u00e1lis term\u00e9kenys\u00e9gi mutat\u00f3k 204 orsz\u00e1gban (1950\u20132021) – el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek 2100-ig"},"content":{"rendered":"

A The Lancet<\/strong>ben megjelent, nemzetk\u00f6zi \u00f6sszefog\u00e1ssal k\u00e9sz\u00fclt tanulm\u00e1ny \u00e1tfog\u00f3 elemz\u00e9seket \u00e9s becsl\u00e9seket mutat be a <\/span>term\u00e9kenys\u00e9g <\/b>m\u00faltbeli \u00e9s j\u00f6v\u0151beli trendjeir\u0151l 204 orsz\u00e1gban \u00e9s ter\u00fcleten 1950-t\u0151l 2100-ig. A szerz\u0151i k\u00f6z\u00f6tt igazgat\u00f3nk, dr. Sz\u00f3cska Mikl\u00f3s<\/b><\/a> \u00e9s int\u00e9zet\u00fcnk munkat\u00e1rsai, <\/span>dr. Ga\u00e1l P\u00e9ter<\/b><\/a>, <\/b>dr. Jo\u00f3 Tam\u00e1s<\/b><\/a>, <\/b>dr. L\u00e1m Judit<\/b><\/a>, <\/b>dr. Palicz Tam\u00e1s<\/b><\/a>, dr. Pollner P\u00e9ter <\/b>is szerepelnek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A kutat\u00e1s meg\u00e1llap\u00edtotta, hogy az emberi civiliz\u00e1ci\u00f3 gyorsan k\u00f6zel\u00edt egy tart\u00f3san alacsony term\u00e9kenys\u00e9gi szint<\/strong> fel\u00e9, b\u00e1r az alacsony j\u00f6vedelm\u0171 r\u00e9gi\u00f3kban, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen a szubszaharai Afrika nyugati \u00e9s keleti r\u00e9sz\u00e9n tal\u00e1lhat\u00f3 orsz\u00e1gokban \u00e9s ter\u00fcleteken m\u00e9rhet\u0151 viszonylag magas term\u00e9kenys\u00e9gi r\u00e1t\u00e1k demogr\u00e1fiai megosztotts\u00e1ghoz vezetnek. <\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00edg azonban a vil\u00e1g nagy r\u00e9sze az alacsony term\u00e9kenys\u00e9ggel kapcsolatos kih\u00edv\u00e1sokkal k\u00fczd, sz\u00e1mos alacsony j\u00f6vedelm\u0171 orsz\u00e1g a 21. sz\u00e1zadban tov\u00e1bbra is a magas term\u00e9kenys\u00e9ggel \u00f6sszef\u00fcgg\u0151 probl\u00e9m\u00e1kkal szembes\u00fcl.<\/span><\/p>\n

A <\/span>tart\u00f3san alacsony term\u00e9kenys\u00e9gi r\u00e1t\u00e1k <\/b>\u2013 \u00e9s az ebb\u0151l ered\u0151 n\u00e9pess\u00e9gcs\u00f6kken\u00e9s \u00e9s -\u00f6reged\u00e9s \u2013 komoly gazdas\u00e1gi kih\u00edv\u00e1sokhoz vezetnek, \u00e9s n\u00f6vekv\u0151 nyom\u00e1st gyakorolnak az eg\u00e9szs\u00e9g\u00fcgyi rendszerekre, a t\u00e1rsadalombiztos\u00edt\u00e1si programokra \u00e9s a munkaer\u0151piacra. M\u00e1sr\u00e9szt az \u00e9lvesz\u00fclet\u00e9sek koncentr\u00e1ci\u00f3j\u00e1nak dr\u00e1mai eltol\u00f3d\u00e1sa a k\u00f6zepes \u00e9s magas j\u00f6vedelm\u0171 t\u00e9rs\u00e9gekb\u0151l az alacsony j\u00f6vedelm\u0171 t\u00e9rs\u00e9gek fel\u00e9 egyre nagyobb gondot jelent a n\u00f6vekv\u0151 fiatal n\u00e9pess\u00e9g fenntart\u00e1sa \u00e9s t\u00e1mogat\u00e1sa szempontj\u00e1b\u00f3l, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen a glob\u00e1lis felmeleged\u00e9s \u00e1ltal legink\u00e1bb \u00e9rintett, politikailag instabil, gazdas\u00e1gilag s\u00e9r\u00fcl\u00e9keny \u00e9s probl\u00e9m\u00e1s eg\u00e9szs\u00e9g\u00fcgyi rendszerekkel b\u00edr\u00f3 ter\u00fcleteken.<\/span><\/p>\n

A term\u00e9kenys\u00e9gi r\u00e1t\u00e1k \u00e9s az \u00e9lvesz\u00fclet\u00e9sek j\u00f6v\u0151beli trendjei <\/span>glob\u00e1lis n\u00e9pesed\u00e9si dinamikai v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sok<\/b>at id\u00e9znek el\u0151, befoly\u00e1solj\u00e1k a nemzetk\u00f6zi kapcsolatokat \u00e9s a geopolitikai k\u00f6rnyezetet, valamint \u00faj migr\u00e1ci\u00f3s kih\u00edv\u00e1sokat vetnek fel, neh\u00e9z feladatok el\u00e9 \u00e1ll\u00edtva a glob\u00e1lis seg\u00e9lyh\u00e1l\u00f3zatokat. Ezen k\u00e9rd\u00e9sek megold\u00e1s\u00e1hoz f\u00f3kusz\u00e1lt \u00e9s egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u0151 munk\u00e1ra lesz sz\u00fcks\u00e9g.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

A teljes cikk a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 linkre kattintva olvashat\u00f3: <\/span>Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950\u20132021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A The Lancetben megjelent, nemzetk\u00f6zi \u00f6sszefog\u00e1ssal k\u00e9sz\u00fclt tanulm\u00e1ny \u00e1tfog\u00f3 elemz\u00e9seket \u00e9s becsl\u00e9seket mutat be a term\u00e9kenys\u00e9g m\u00faltbeli \u00e9s j\u00f6v\u0151beli trendjeir\u0151l 204 orsz\u00e1gban \u00e9s ter\u00fcleten 1950-t\u0151l 2100-ig. A szerz\u0151i k\u00f6z\u00f6tt igazgat\u00f3nk, dr. Sz\u00f3cska Mikl\u00f3s<\/a> \u00e9s int\u00e9zet\u00fcnk munkat\u00e1rsai, dr. Ga\u00e1l P\u00e9ter<\/a> , dr. Jo\u00f3 Tam\u00e1s<\/a> , dr. L\u00e1m Judit<\/a> , dr. Palicz Tam\u00e1s<\/a> , dr. Pollner P\u00e9ter is szerepelnek.\u00a0 A kutat\u00e1s meg\u00e1llap\u00edtotta, hogy az emberi civiliz\u00e1ci\u00f3 gyorsan k\u00f6zel\u00edt egy tart\u00f3san alacsony term\u00e9kenys\u00e9gi …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102350,"featured_media":24288,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[563,561,517],"class_list":["post-24301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-hirek","tag-nepesedesi-elorejelzes","tag-termekenysegi-rata","tag-the-lancet"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102350"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24301"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24301\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24433,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24301\/revisions\/24433"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24288"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}