{"id":24287,"date":"2024-05-22T17:42:38","date_gmt":"2024-05-22T15:42:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/?p=24287"},"modified":"2025-01-16T13:19:41","modified_gmt":"2025-01-16T12:19:41","slug":"globalis-kor-es-nemspecifikus-halandosag-varhato-elettartam-es-nepessegbecslesek-the-lancet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/2024\/05\/22\/globalis-kor-es-nemspecifikus-halandosag-varhato-elettartam-es-nepessegbecslesek-the-lancet\/","title":{"rendered":"Glob\u00e1lis kor- \u00e9s nemspecifikus haland\u00f3s\u00e1g, v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 \u00e9lettartam \u00e9s n\u00e9pess\u00e9gbecsl\u00e9sek: \u00e1tfog\u00f3 demogr\u00e1fiai elemz\u00e9s a The Lancet-ben"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">A <\/span><b>The Lancet <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">2024. m\u00e1jusi sz\u00e1m\u00e1ban jelent meg az a nemzetk\u00f6zi \u00f6sszefog\u00e1sban l\u00e9trej\u00f6tt elemz\u00e9s, amelyben int\u00e9zet\u00fcnk munkat\u00e1rsai &#8211; <\/span><b><a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/gaal-peter-dr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dr. Ga\u00e1l P\u00e9ter<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/joo-tamas-dr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dr. Jo\u00f3 Tam\u00e1s<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/dr-lam-judit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dr. L\u00e1m Judit<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/palicz-tamas-dr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dr. Palicz Tam\u00e1s<\/a>, dr. Pollner P\u00e9ter <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00e9s<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/szocska-miklos-dr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><b> dr. Sz\u00f3cska Mikl\u00f3s<\/b><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> is k\u00f6zrem\u0171k\u00f6dtek. Az elemz\u00e9sek a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/2024\/10\/31\/a-dohanyzas-hatasainak-elorejelzese-2022-es-2050-kozott\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><b>Global Burden of Disease Study 2021<\/b><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">-hez (Betegs\u00e9gek Glob\u00e1lis Terhe, GBD) k\u00e9sz\u00fcltek.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ez volt az egyik els\u0151 olyan tanulm\u00e1ny, amely teljes k\u00f6r\u0171en \u00e9rt\u00e9kelte a demogr\u00e1fiai trendeket a COVID-19 vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny els\u0151 k\u00e9t \u00e9v\u00e9nek \u00f6sszef\u00fcgg\u00e9s\u00e9ben. Az <\/span><b>\u00e1tfog\u00f3 demogr\u00e1fiai elemz\u00e9sek <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">magukban foglalj\u00e1k az \u00f6sszes hal\u00e1loz\u00e1si okot, a v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 \u00e9lettartamot \u00e9s a n\u00e9pess\u00e9gi adatokat 204 orsz\u00e1gra \u00e9s ter\u00fcletre, illetve 811 szubnacion\u00e1lis (nemzeti szint alatti, az adott orsz\u00e1g k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 tartom\u00e1nyai vagy r\u00e9gi\u00f3i szerinti) helysz\u00ednre vonatkoz\u00f3an. Ez lehet\u0151v\u00e9 tette az \u00f6sszes hal\u00e1loz\u00e1si ok becsl\u00e9s\u00e9nek felhaszn\u00e1l\u00e1s\u00e1t a vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny miatti t\u00f6bblethal\u00e1loz\u00e1s becsl\u00e9seihez.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">A tanulm\u00e1nyban k\u00f6z\u00f6lt \u00e1tfog\u00f3 demogr\u00e1fiai mutat\u00f3k azt mutatj\u00e1k, hogy 2020-ban \u00e9s 2021-ben jelent\u0151s v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s k\u00f6vetkezett be a feln\u0151ttkori hal\u00e1loz\u00e1si \u00e9s v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 \u00e9lettartam-trendekben: <strong>vil\u00e1gszerte n\u00f6vekedett a hal\u00e1loz\u00e1s \u00e9s cs\u00f6kkent a v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 \u00e9lettartam<\/strong>. Ez a hal\u00e1loz\u00e1sn\u00f6veked\u00e9s nem \u00e9rintette a fiatalabb popul\u00e1ci\u00f3kat: az 5 \u00e9v alatti gyermekek hal\u00e1loz\u00e1si r\u00e1t\u00e1i glob\u00e1lisan tov\u00e1bb cs\u00f6kkentek a vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny els\u0151 k\u00e9t \u00e9v\u00e9ben.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Mik\u00f6zben a glob\u00e1lis n\u00e9pess\u00e9gn\u00f6veked\u00e9s lassul, a f\u00f6ldrajzi eloszl\u00e1sok \u00e9s korstrukt\u00far\u00e1k alapvet\u0151 v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sokon mennek kereszt\u00fcl \u2013 az alacsony j\u00f6vedelm\u0171 orsz\u00e1gok \u00e9s ter\u00fcletek tov\u00e1bb n\u00f6vekednek, \u00e9s vil\u00e1gszerte id\u0151s\u00f6dik a n\u00e9pess\u00e9gszerkezet. A j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny ut\u00e1ni vil\u00e1g nemzeteinek <\/span><b>\u00faj eg\u00e9szs\u00e9g\u00fcgyi, gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9s t\u00e1rsadalmi kih\u00edv\u00e1sok<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">kal kell szemben\u00e9zni\u00fck, amelyeket \u00faj politik\u00e1kkal \u00e9s gyakorlatokkal kell kezelni\u00fck.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00d6sszess\u00e9g\u00e9ben a tanulm\u00e1nyban k\u00f6z\u00f6lt kiterjedt <\/span><b>demogr\u00e1fiai becsl\u00e9sek <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00e9rt\u00e9kes glob\u00e1lis eszk\u00f6zt jelentenek a politik\u00e1k \u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9s\u00e9hez, kidolgoz\u00e1s\u00e1hoz \u00e9s megval\u00f3s\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1hoz a vil\u00e1g k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 helysz\u00ednein.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"fontos_div w-100\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">A teljes cikk ezen a linken \u00e9rhet\u0151 el: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thelancet.com\/journals\/lancet\/article\/PIIS0140-6736(24)00476-8\/fulltext\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950\u20132021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A The Lancet 2024. m\u00e1jusi sz\u00e1m\u00e1ban jelent meg az a nemzetk\u00f6zi \u00f6sszefog\u00e1sban l\u00e9trej\u00f6tt elemz\u00e9s, amelyben int\u00e9zet\u00fcnk munkat\u00e1rsai &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/gaal-peter-dr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dr. Ga\u00e1l P\u00e9ter<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/joo-tamas-dr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dr. Jo\u00f3 Tam\u00e1s<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/dr-lam-judit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dr. L\u00e1m Judit<\/a> , <a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/palicz-tamas-dr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dr. Palicz Tam\u00e1s<\/a> , dr. Pollner P\u00e9ter \u00e9s <a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/oktatas\/munkatarsak-oktatoi-csapat\/szocska-miklos-dr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> dr. Sz\u00f3cska Mikl\u00f3s<\/a> is k\u00f6zrem\u0171k\u00f6dtek. Az elemz\u00e9sek a <a href=\"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/2024\/10\/31\/a-dohanyzas-hatasainak-elorejelzese-2022-es-2050-kozott\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Global Burden of Disease Study 2021<\/a> -hez (Betegs\u00e9gek Glob\u00e1lis Terhe, GBD) k\u00e9sz\u00fcltek.\u00a0 Ez volt az egyik els\u0151 olyan tanulm\u00e1ny, amely teljes k\u00f6r\u0171en \u00e9rt\u00e9kelte a demogr\u00e1fiai trendeket a COVID-19 vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny els\u0151 &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102350,"featured_media":24288,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[557,517],"class_list":["post-24287","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-hirek","tag-demografia","tag-the-lancet"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24287","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102350"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24287"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24287\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24296,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24287\/revisions\/24296"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24288"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24287"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24287"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/semmelweis.hu\/emk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24287"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}